The signing of Cunha and Mbeumo entails only one danger, which encapsulates Manchester United’s reality.
The offensive drive is evident, in contrast to the previous season when Man Utd seldom produced any opportunities and every game seemed like a pain to watch.
As anticipated, Matheus Cunha and Bryan Mbeumo have been at the forefront of those efforts because none of them required a “welcome to the league” moment. With just one risk associated with each, they appear to be as flawless as a transfer can be on paper. The fact that even such a slim likelihood is turning into a reality encapsulates the club’s fortunes. Despite being at the pinnacle of their careers, playing at a problem position, and having just finished England’s greatest successful season, they were proven Premier League players who only wanted to sign with Manchester United. Three games don’t change the fact that Cunha and Mbeumo are ideal transfers for Manchester United.
There is no way for a transfer to have more green flags than this one, and there was only one red flag. You can always rely on Man Utd to be beaten by that one red flag rather than winning from the many green ones. Despite all of their goal-scoring prowess from the previous season, Mbeumo and Cunha had one trait. Cunha exceeded his xG (expected goals) by an astounding 6.55 last season despite scoring 15 league goals. In six of the last eight seasons, this player has undershot his xG.
In contrast, Mbeumo scored 20 league goals from an xG of 13.63, exceeding his xG by 6.37. He had never surpassed his xG since arriving in England. Since xG indicates an average player, a world-class player should surpass it. Both players had breakout seasons. A warning sign, though, was that the returns were unusual compared to prior seasons. In summary, since coming to Old Trafford, both United players have lost out on golden opportunities.
In effect, they’re going back to the norm. The performance from the previous season is probably the new normal for both, even though the red signal mentioned above is alarming. After all, the club has consistently created opportunities, so the issue hasn’t been one of despair thus far this season. Since undershooting the xG over time is as rare as overshooting it significantly, the probability will eventually start to change.
In order to put themselves in a precarious position, United will also need to work on fixing the ridiculous unforced mistakes they seem to commit in every game. Although Amorim seems beaten, the underlying statistics indicate that this is a dangerous team that has lost all of its luck. He must maintain his composure and refrain from doing something he might come to regret. In three games, he has successfully coached at least two victories, if not three. The players must take charge.
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